Food and Fertiliser Subsidies, No FDI, Oil bill and state elections

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Banking and Infra dominated Nifty and Sensex was shocked into its monthly / quarterly ‘uprising’ from food and fertiliser stocks as fertiliser subsidies are intact in run up to the late yet dull and desperate Budget Report for March 15, 2012

RBI is under pressure again as MOFCOM forces all loss of FDI on PE rules regarding options to selll back to promoters. Such rin built options are attributed to 9 out of 10 FDI deals and are strongly objected to by the regulator and banned since September 2011. RBI insists such exposure with sell back options be treated as loans

Meanwhile the Aviation auditor’s report singled out the cash strapped airlibnes for “glaring deficiencies” in the safety standards was not a CSI style water borne success in destroying the sector. Thence the watchdog has changed chameleonic colors to put profitable indigo in the dock for “dancing around” with the rules

The UIDAI meanwhile has no hope for resurgence being out of funding and at danger of being chopped off in the middle of implementation again as budget parleys bring back other ministry’s demands for a parallel similar scheme out of various single data registers like the central pension organisations and the tax men The Oil bill has become hard to pay even otherwise with reserves accounted by Corp India’s money markets splurge abroad.

Kissan cards could get alignment as financial inclusion vehicles also counted as debit cards represeing a deposit account giving banking access to the 100 mln card holders. SUUTI will continue to leverage its assets “to keep liquidity for redemptions” and no other leveraging is planned says Finance Secy ont he tube ahead of budget. Also though unrelated to the budget only 7 out of 10 billionaires survived 2011 according to market cap recomputations by the “ETIG”

While the Rs 1 Tln extra borrowing ( announced 992 bln ) may not fill more than ordinary expenses,

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without buy backs swallowed by State PSUs, the spending of Rs 1.5 Tln on food subsidies already made this year and the new 1.6 Tln on energy with INR 475 bln planned for ONGC and a INR 100 bln for the rest of the producers  leaves another 1 Tln hole in governance even as Mamta stays centerstage ahead of elections in NaMo and BSP ridden UK/UP twith Punjab Manipur and Goa. UP elections will go on thru February.

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