Though it would not seem like it to you and me and even those who were lucky to get into the hallowed portals of JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs before us, this is a continuing bull run ith just too many interruptions and cavilling to ignore. Witness how there are not more than one nay sayer in a crowd of 50 commentators. Witness also how market traders like Ashwini Gujral and SS keep trying to put out short picks every now and then but come back empty handed at 3:30 pm. Also witness how the ruepee’s weaknness making the IT sector attractive means suddenly all other fundamentals are “poof” vanished in the air. Importantly, as someone caught me on telly today, ( I opened the screen to TV18 as he wasz speaking the subject) , portfolio inflows are strengthened by Rupee’s unbroken move towards the lowest on record 56 levels and odollar sales are washed up by the high tide of month end Oil purchases and the burgeoning trade deficit as is usual for our second half of the fiscaal, and for the second year running, we follow up on daily tidbits of how India will no t be able to manage the fisc target but the bullishness remains on call.
Did i cost you a fortune? I may have because as a single hand I was unable to suitably direct you on big time nbullish calls like Stride Arcolabs which has always been an emergent blue chip on my card like much of the remaining sector including the crop of MNC pharma led by GSK which as known for ages is going in finally for a fresh buyback to bring its stake up to the now standard 75% for MNC players in line with SEBI requirements of a public company. But I do not regret sending more the way of IDFC who also has an active PE arm in non infraco projects apart from its starting blocks it purloined from StanChart’s Mutual Fund in India.
On global cues, both Europe’s new Greek agreement and China’s slowdown had nothing new to offer for global portfolio investors and hot money trade fronts while FDI related or otherwise Policy execution remains on hold in India that also been duly discounted by the market aand any pyrotecnhnics by flailing oppositions and Catalonian adventures are unlikely to firm up as a new trend into the mix, favoring the recovery of Europe into a mild recession and now despite growth in UK and Germany while the fiscal cliff seems to be ready to become a new non event yet someone should not get their hopes all up too soon.
Gold and Commodities look unwilling to make a move but the Dollar is not getting any stronger and the Rupee’s weakness is another capitulation to current deficit demands by our policy makers as our champions of growth budgeting find themselves unable to get to the next watermark or making a stand in execution or in substantial politics.
And Hindustan Copper is back to 155 as the price was marked in the Offer for Sale, letting investors keep hope in the IPO process ( with due discounts and ready profits without issues devolving on others – excepting LIC’s coffers that are now an unbridled part of India’s budget machine)
- India Morning Report: This Bull market can sustain itself (awardz.wordpress.com)
- GSK to raise stake in India unit in $939 million deal (uk.reuters.com)
- India Morning Report: Markets to follow up another uptick from 5680 (awardz.wordpress.com)
- Rupee Impact: The remittance comeuppance from Young India (awardz.wordpress.com)
- India Morning Report: Another Week, Another Level ..(The Non Academically Superior Version..On An Everyday Beat) (awardz.wordpress.com)
- India Morning Report: A stake purchase by etihad, a weak dollar and Japan holds on more easing (awardz.wordpress.com)