Those hoping for a correction as DIIs called the market wrong 2-3 times before the markets left them selling into a rising market and handling redemptions but based on the predilection for that correction shorts have already bled in trying to sell 5800 Calls and had to roll to 6000 calls in December series. That ould seemingly have been a nice time for an exit and now, new top range of the market is well settled nearer 6200 where the new Sold calls set up the top of the range while those holding the 6000 Call premium of about 100+ are likely to be trapped by bulls and doused fully in the run past 6100.
Nifty hits 6000 on way to 6200
That of course is just more details of how shorts including DII managers like Madhu Kela who were long on the Indian economy but haave been battling continuing redemptions and the lack of opportunity to buy will be hurt in the January series before the markets start a downward trend most likely post budget as euphoria over policy finally dies out only after new budget announcements and tolerance for fiscal slippage and the new range for targets for FY14, 15 and FY16 that governments across the world and P Chidambaram must use wisely. Avoid IT esp Midcaps as shorts would concentrate there while the market achieves 6200 to help them fund their trades to the North pole
That also means that markets will likely remain above 6000 in the run up to the budget and supports at 5900-5950 are likely to hold allowing Indian currency to catch up on the bad year past in 2012 and strengthen in the periods the Won and the Singapore Dollar create as they continue to run up past the US Dollar on continued good performance by Singapore and hopefully bad December trade data turning out to be a chimera for Korea whree the WON nearly ran up 10% on the Dollar in 2012 on trade resurgence but China may be looking to other trade partners at the beginning of the recovery while Korea has to wait for the consumer boom in China and its other Export markets.
Asia leads strongly in today’s open as Europe is also likely to rejoice on the postponing of all arguments in the US Senate and House for another two months as both Republicans and Democrats try to get a hold on their contribution to a longterm restructuring of the budget deficit.
Meanwhile LIC’s investment charter is likely on target to receive the policy endorsement needed to own up to 25% of a company in equity and the Indian state gets a strong ally in Institutional investors resulting to that.
Manufacturing PMI data to be released later in the day may not be able to hold on to its gains at last months near 54 performance and December’s lukewarm auto sales ( to be confirmed by Bajaj Auto and HMSI) with TaMo scoring just 15000 sales for the month and Maruti sticking around 80,000 vhicles for the year near its recent bottom for the year. Hyundai also reported sales of less than 30,000 for the month while M&M nearly topped off the 50,000 mark in a strong performance and its new SUV range indeed catchs on the fancy of the budget buyer, a big category in India’s consumernomics.
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