Bank Results season: Its not the asset quality trails but the change in NiMs

Banks across the board got a full reprieve in Q1 (Fy 2014) as they report much better NIMs, ING improving to 3.56% up almost 10% from previous year scores because of the lower interest rates by the Central Bank. Apart from the old hat CEntral bank rebuttal to banks at this stage for refusing to  pss along the rate cuts, this strategy is not really creating any abnormal returns but would have unsqueezed banks bt for the oil triage getting the Economy back into a high rate orbit.

Also the concerns about asset quality are probably unfounded as they just try to close up books on all doubtful assets and this quarter’s anomalous jump of 50% at HDFC Bank and more at ING vysya is likely just a result of that

Retail Banks have obviously been running higher NIMS like 4.4% at HDfc bank and cllose to 4% at Axis, but they also hide a lot of retail pain in their bigger balance sheets that can be shown by segmenting the cost of funding also appropriately for the retail book

 

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