India Morning Report: Rally enters fourth day with steep move up to 5850 levels

Line up the confetti balls and the piniatas as the fourth day of the Rajan Rally engenders new Slumdog Billionaire, Kaun Banega Crorepati and a successful Indian Badminton League probably mean the start of another even if the 2014 Airtel Grand Prix at the Noida Track is under threat and the IPL is sstill al knotted up from the Hawala Masala

 

Historic Valuations, Trends disregarded as flows rush in

 

Leo Pharma
Leo Pharma (Photo credit: Christian González Verón)

 

Piggybacking the global weakness of the Dollar, investors not predicately assuming to undo damage to the Rupee, nevertheless brought the currency back into play for the 60 mark to the Dollar on Tuesday with a 64 open as flows returned to India debt and equities. With INR 1600 Crore returning in debt and 800 crore ( more than 25 bln ) in equal measure into the chosen investments in stocks, the IT and Pharma largesse from the Dollar was no longer the defining mantra of the market by Friday itself.

 

As the 260 points in the Nifty to 5850 on Tuesday at 11 am show, the market may well take the indices to 6000, bring India firmly to the centre of the 2013 and 2014 investment maps as was three months ago and thus probably caus ethe currency to further climb back to 60 levels again as there are absolutely no buyer or seller levels in the move from 55 to 69 in the last three months and 10 odd days.

 

And much like it was Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson for the Texans in a star filled roster or the veterans Dravid and Ganguly playing India in on one o the many English conquests last decade, it was veterans that stuck to the India script rushing the momentum early morning into India with ITC back to 330 levels and still worth a few moves and Bharti and the banks not far behind, moving secularly together as rates fell below the 8.25% mark on the 10 year paper and ECB short-term borrowings interest rose again from Rajan’s moves to allow FX swaps at 350 basis points (on deposits till November for now).

 

The 5750 mark was expected to hold in the morning, the 20,000 mark on th Sensex seems obvious now on the BSE Index and

 

English: Amitabh Bachchan photographed by Stud...
English: Amitabh Bachchan photographed by Studio Harcourt Paris Français : Amitabh Bachchan photographié par Studio Harcourt Paris Harcourt Paris (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

thus 6000 is almost a certainty and as inflows measure interest and levels, there is no reason for indices to now fall or turn from these levels even if OMCs have not really gained till now on the Oil basket prices in India’s PPAs vis a vis the refining margin impacted by the appreciating Rupee or if no exporters seemed to have been selected for the overall CAD gains except for Bajaj Auto and It and Pharma are still available for substitution. Even if Infy has  new target of 3500, a balanced indian market is unlikely to let it reach the same in any hurry with value available across sectors, including last months star sector in metals. Sesa Goa weightage s increasing in Nifty by under 2% and Tata Steel is still available under 300

 

Kaun Banega Crorepati 2013 started last week on Sony with another veteran Amitabh Bachchan returning as its iconic face in the Indian version of “Who wants to become a millionaire?” (kbc.sonyliv.com) One Taj Md. Rangrez has won the Jackpot in this edition in episodes shot till now

 

 

 

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